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Simulating adaptation of forest management to changing climate and disturbance r...

Simulating adaptation of forest management to changing climate and disturbance regimes Forest disturbance regimes have intensified distinctly in recent decades, and climate change is expected to further increase the frequency and severity of disturbance events. Adaptation is thus necessary to mitigate detrimental ef... ver más

30/09/2016

BOKU

88K€

Presupuesto del proyecto: 88K€

Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITAET FUER BODENKULTUR WIEN No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Fecha límite participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Financiación concedida El organismo FP7 notifico la concesión del proyecto el día 2016-09-30 No tenemos la información de la convocatoria

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Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITAET FUER BODENKULTUR WIEN No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Presupuesto del proyecto 88K€

Fecha límite de participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Descripción del proyecto Forest disturbance regimes have intensified distinctly in recent decades, and climate change is expected to further increase the frequency and severity of disturbance events. Adaptation is thus necessary to mitigate detrimental effects of this intensification on the sustainable provisioning of ecosystem services. However, while we’re beginning to understand the responses of individual disturbance agents to a changing climate, our knowledge on disturbance regimes (i.e. multiple agents interacting in space and time) is still limited. The development of adaptation strategies is further complicated by remaining deficiencies in our conception of forests as coupled human and natural systems. While forest models are increasingly able to simulate climate change impacts dynamically, human responses to these ecosystem changes are still widely represented as static prescriptions in such models, neglecting the adaptive capacity in silviculture. The here presented research agenda addresses these issues, with the overall aim to foster adaptation to changing climate and disturbance regimes in forest management. We will study wind – bark beetle interactions based on empirical data from long-term ecosystem research, and implement such interactions into a novel forest landscape simulator. We will furthermore develop an agent-based model of forest management within this simulation framework, with the ability to adapt management dynamically to the conditions emerging from the simulation. Harnessing these methodological advances in a number of case studies we will address questions such as whether interactions will amplify the climate sensitivity of disturbance regimes further, and how response diversity in multi-owner landscapes affects adaptive capacity. The project aims at improving the robustness of disturbance management and thus makes an important contribution to adapting sustainable forest management to changing climate and disturbance regimes.

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