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HistoricEpi

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Quantiative Study of Major Historic Epidemics and Transitions to longer healthi...

Quantiative Study of Major Historic Epidemics and Transitions to longer healthier lives Only 150 years ago, one in five Europeans died in infancy, life expectancy was 40 years, and the leading causes of death were infectious diseases: tuberculosis, smallpox, measles, pertussis, diphtheria, cholera, typhoid fever, sca... ver más

30/09/2017

UCPH

212K€

Presupuesto del proyecto: 212K€

Líder del proyecto

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Fecha límite participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Financiación concedida El organismo H2020 notifico la concesión del proyecto el día 2017-09-30

MSCA-IF-2014-EF: Marie Skłodowska-Curie Individual F...

I+D

Cerrada hace 10 años

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Información adicional privada

No hay información privada compartida para este proyecto. Habla con el coordinador.

1 Participantes

UCPH

212.19K€ | Lider

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Duración del proyecto: 30 meses Fecha Inicio: 2015-03-04
Fecha Fin: 2017-09-30

Líder del proyecto

KOBENHAVNS UNIVERSITET No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Presupuesto del proyecto 212K€

Fecha límite de participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Descripción del proyecto Only 150 years ago, one in five Europeans died in infancy, life expectancy was 40 years, and the leading causes of death were infectious diseases: tuberculosis, smallpox, measles, pertussis, diphtheria, cholera, typhoid fever, scarlet fever. But in just a few decades beginning about 1880, life expectancy rose dramatically as infectious disease mortality plummeted. This 2nd epidemiologic transition, in which chronic diseases began replacing infections as leading causes of death, occurred well in advance of antibiotics and most vaccines. Many factors have been proposed to explain it, including improved nutrition, sanitation, clean drinking water, better housing and the emergence of social support systems. Little has been done, however, to systematically rescue and quantitatively study historic health data and rigorously investigate the epidemiologic transition. I lay out here an ambitious, novel, interdisciplinary and feasible proposal to do just that. In the process, I will broaden my research scope from statistical modeling of historic pandemic influenza to all historic infections, understand the historical context in which the transition occurred, and master new concepts in dynamic disease modeling. Danish historic medical data are uniquely detailed and reach far back in time, and are uniquely suited for quantitative studies of long time series of morbidity and mortality, with the promise to further illuminate the epidemiology of important diseases including smallpox, cholera, and measles. After 25 years abroad as a senior researcher at the National Institutes of Health and Professor of Global Health in the U.S., I now wish to return to my native Denmark. I had the honor this year to be elected to the Royal Danish Academy of Sciences and Letters, and receive funding to be a visiting professor at the University of Copenhagen, and trust this signals the beginning of my successful re-integration to European academia.

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