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How Effective are Illiberal Strategies of Citizen Manipulation?

"The widespread popular support for illiberal leaders seeking to subvert democracy is one of the more puzzling and concerning developments in the 21st century. From Putin through Orbán to Erdogan, illiberal leaders invest large re... ver más

31/08/2026

CENTRAL EUROPEAN U...

158K€

Presupuesto del proyecto: 158K€

Líder del proyecto

KOZEPEUROPAI EGYETEM No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Financiación concedida El organismo HORIZON EUROPE notifico la concesión del proyecto el día 2023-08-02

HORIZON-WIDERA-2022-TALENTS-04-01: Fostering balanced brain circulatio... ExpectedOutcome:This action will build on the MSCA Postdoctoral Fellowships 2022 action (HORIZON-MSC...

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1 Participantes

CENTRAL EUROPEAN UNIVERSITY

157.62K€ | Lider

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Duración del proyecto: 36 meses Fecha Inicio: 2023-08-02
Fecha Fin: 2026-08-31

Líder del proyecto

KOZEPEUROPAI EGYETEM No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Presupuesto del proyecto 158K€

Descripción del proyecto "The widespread popular support for illiberal leaders seeking to subvert democracy is one of the more puzzling and concerning developments in the 21st century. From Putin through Orbán to Erdogan, illiberal leaders invest large resources into propaganda, organize grandiose displays of support, and promote hostile rumours about their enemies. But do such attempts at manipulation shape citizens' support and acceptance of the illiberal leader? Prior research yields conflicting expectations. On the one hand, research in psychology and political behaviour identified a plethora of cognitive biases, which undermine citizens' ability to punish leaders for their mistakes or wrongdoings. On the other hand, recent evidence shows that people are difficult to persuade, making it unlikely that propaganda could change the minds of citizens who are critical of an illiberal leader. To adjudicate between these accounts, this project will a) develop a novel framework for studying the effects of illiberal manipulation strategies and will examine the effects of multiple manipulation attempts, such as b) hostile rhetoric, c) political misinformation campaigns, and d) populist appeals to fairness intuitions. The project builds on an interdisciplinary framework bridging insights from comparative politics and psychological science, and will employ a diverse set of methodological tools from multiple survey experiments (vignette, conjoint, and cultural transmission designs) as well as quantitative text analysis. Original comparative survey data from Hungary, the US, and Denmark will be used to compare citizens' susceptibility to manipulation under different political environments. The project contributes to the European Commission's priority of ""a new push for European democracy"" by informing pro-democracy stakeholders and citizens on the perils of illiberal citizen manipulation."

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