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BLUE-AFRICA

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Can blue economy interventions mitigate rural poverty and outmigration in land-d...

Can blue economy interventions mitigate rural poverty and outmigration in land-drying eastern Africa? Coastal and rural villages in Eastern Africa are more likely to have mitigated or even avoided poverty and outmigration during the last three decades of land desertification and natural disasters when developing a sustainable blue... ver más

31/01/2030

UNIVERSITE DE MONT...

2M€

Presupuesto del proyecto: 2M€

Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITE DE MONTPELLIER No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Fecha límite participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Financiación concedida El organismo HORIZON EUROPE notifico la concesión del proyecto el día 2024-05-21

ERC-2023-ADG: ERC ADVANCED GRANTS Scope:Objectives

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Este proyecto no cuenta con búsquedas de partenariado abiertas en este momento.

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1 Participantes

UNIVERSITE DE MONTPELLIER

2.50M€ | Lider

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Duración del proyecto: 68 meses Fecha Inicio: 2024-05-21
Fecha Fin: 2030-01-31

Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITE DE MONTPELLIER No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Presupuesto del proyecto 2M€

Fecha límite de participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Descripción del proyecto Coastal and rural villages in Eastern Africa are more likely to have mitigated or even avoided poverty and outmigration during the last three decades of land desertification and natural disasters when developing a sustainable blue economy providing alternative resources and livelihoods. To test this core hypothesis, we will rely on a long-term causal inference framework combining satellite imagery, artificial intelligence algorithms, and spatial matching statistical methods, but also multidisciplinary field surveys. More precisely, BLUE-AFRICA has the ambition to quantitatively and causally assess on the long term whether (i) maintaining productive coral reefs through the establishment of fisheries management, (ii) investing in mariculture, or (iii) developing nature-based tourism can be potential transformation pathways on the eastern African coast to improve wealth assets and prevent outmigration when arable land and terrestrial resources are vanishing under climate change. Four main objectives will be reached: 1. Mapping and characterizing all rural socio-ecological systems (RSES) on the coasts of Madagascar, Mozambique, and Tanzania, but also blue economy activities. 2. Building, testing and validating artificial intelligence algorithms accurately predicting the level of human poverty and outmigration across space and time in Africa from satellite imagery and auxiliary covariates. 3. Testing the causal link between the establishment of a blue economy activity and the level of poverty and outmigration in the drying rural eastern Africa over a long time period (up to 30 years) using a spatial matching method between control and treated RSES and then fitting several response curve models. 4. Identifying, visiting and understanding the ‘bright’ vs. the ‘dark’ spots, i.e., the RSES with the highest vs. lowest level of economic development and net migration using a deviance approach from model expectations, in-depth field surveys and statistical comparisons.

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