A multi-century history and future of fire occurrence in the Mediterranean Basin...
A multi-century history and future of fire occurrence in the Mediterranean Basin and its climatic and atmospheric drivers (REGIME)
Wildfires in the Mediterranean region pose a critical impact on human lives, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Understanding the multidimensional nature of wildfires is crucial for assessing future ecosystem dynamics and f...
Wildfires in the Mediterranean region pose a critical impact on human lives, ecosystems, and socio-economic stability. Understanding the multidimensional nature of wildfires is crucial for assessing future ecosystem dynamics and fire management strategies. The underlying coupled mechanisms of the interaction between fire, climate components and atmospheric drivers that affect regional fire regime characteristics (fire frequency, seasonality, severity, extent etc.) are still poorly understood. Therefore, there is an urgent need for interdisciplinary approaches to address climatic and atmospheric drivers of fire occurrence, especially, in fire-prone areas with diverse regional climate conditions such as the pyrogenic forest ecosystems of the Mediterranean Basin. The main goal of REGIME is to disentangle the complex relationship between fire occurrences, and the climatic and atmospheric drivers in the Mediterranean Basin in the past and ultimately model the future probability of fire occurrence. To do so, a unique network in terms of spatiotemporal resolution of fire history of the Basin will be created combining documentary records and tree-ring-based fire reconstructions (WP1). The major modes of large-scale climatic drivers, atmospheric circulation patterns, and teleconnections that modulate fire occurrence will be analysed to understand the complex link to fire occurrence (WP2). Lastly, the potential future changes in fire occurrence over the 21st century will be evaluated to understand the driving factors and the potential consequences (WP3). REGIME's multidisciplinary nature is novel and unique which involves a combination of well-developed dendrochronology, atmospheric sciences, and fire ecology. Comprehensively studying climate-fire interactions, climate teleconnections and modelling future fire occurrence based on climate scenarios will seek to inform effective fire management strategies, policy development, and climate adaptation measures across the Basin.ver más
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