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MICROCLIM

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Cerrado

A micro scale perspective on alpine floras under climate change. Linking observa...

A micro scale perspective on alpine floras under climate change. Linking observations and models to improve our understanding of the future of European high mountain plants The diversity of organisms, one of the most striking features of life on Earth, is under threat, and climate change may become a major driver of the biodiversity crisis in the decades to come. However, climate effects on species w... ver más

30/06/2026

UNIVIE

2M€

Presupuesto del proyecto: 2M€

Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITAT WIEN No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Fecha límite participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Ver 4 Participantes

Financiación concedida El organismo H2020 notifico la concesión del proyecto el día 2020-05-26

ERC-2019-ADG: ERC Advanced Grant

I+D

Cerrada hace 5 años

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Información adicional privada

No hay información privada compartida para este proyecto. Habla con el coordinador.

4 Participantes

UNIVIE

2.00M€ | Lider

INSTALACIONES INABENSA

298.23K€ | Participante

OEAW

128.16K€ | Participante

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Duración del proyecto: 73 meses Fecha Inicio: 2020-05-26
Fecha Fin: 2026-06-30

Líder del proyecto

UNIVERSITAT WIEN No se ha especificado una descripción o un objeto social para esta compañía.

TRL 4-5

Presupuesto del proyecto 2M€

Fecha límite de participación Sin fecha límite de participación.

Descripción del proyecto The diversity of organisms, one of the most striking features of life on Earth, is under threat, and climate change may become a major driver of the biodiversity crisis in the decades to come. However, climate effects on species will vary across ecosystems and regions. The fate of the rich and peculiar alpine flora in a warming world is particularly contentious. While some researchers expect massive loss of cold-adapted plants because they have little options to escape the heat (‘mountaintop extinction’), others assume low sensitivity of high-mountain floras due to widespread microclimatic refugia in the topographically complex alpine terrain. MICROCLIM aims to assess the evidence for these contradictory expectations by linking so far separated research strands of monitoring and predictive modelling of alpine plant distribution. In particular, we will, first, provide a comprehensive evaluation of standard modelling approaches by comparing their predictions with Europe-wide monitoring of mountain top floras and analyse the role of spatial scale for possible mismatches between models and observations of change. Second, we will develop a novel modelling framework that simulates the simultaneous range dynamics of many interacting species. We will parameterise this model by means of experiments and observational data and evaluate it against monitoring data on an exemplary mountain. We will then apply the model to simulate the dynamics of the flora of this mountain over the 21st century at a very fine spatial resolution to evaluate the proposed rescue effect of microclimatic variation in alpine terrain. We will finally generalize the results achieved in these dynamic simulations to all summits included in the European mountaintop monitoring network. The results of MICROCLIM will help understanding how threatened the unique alpine flora of Europe actually is in a warming world and whether mitigating conservation measures will be required to secure its long-term survival.

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